← CLUSTERS | CLUSTER #50 79 markets
DASHBOARD ALERTS CLUSTERS STATUS
LOGIN/SIGNUP
04:02:57 UTC
EVENTS 79
AVG PROB 18.7%
AVG SPREAD 0.0%
VOL 24H 509K
PLOT 2000/161403
MAX POINTS
other (69) politics (10)
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Event Poly Kalshi Manifold Choice Prob Spread Vol Sig
Will Carolyn Maloney be the democratic nominee for NY-12? other
0.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Chi Ossé win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary? politics
3.8¢
--
--
YES 4%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12? other
57.5¢
--
--
YES 57%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Jack Schlossberg be the democratic nominee for NY-12? other
9.5¢
--
--
YES 10%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Cameron Kasky be the democratic nominee for NY-12? other
0.8¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12? other
24.5¢
--
--
YES 25%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Lina Khan be the democratic nominee for NY-12? other
0.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Erik Bottcher be the democratic nominee for NY-12? other
0.6¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Julie Menin be the democratic nominee for NY-12? other
3.2¢
--
--
YES 3%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Chelsea Clinton be the democratic nominee for NY-12? politics
0.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Andrew Cuomo be the democratic nominee for NY-12? other
6.6¢
--
--
YES 7%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Liam Elkind be the democratic nominee for NY-12? other
0.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Brad Hoylman-Sigal be the democratic nominee for NY-12? other
0.8¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Scott Stringer be the democratic nominee for NY-12? other
0.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Keith Powers be the democratic nominee for NY-12? other
0.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Liz Krueger be the democratic nominee for NY-12? other
0.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Gale Brewer be the democratic nominee for NY-12? other
0.8¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Cynthia Nixon be the democratic nominee for NY-12? other
0.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Brad Lander be the democratic nominee for NY-12? other
0.3¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C50
Will George Conway be the democratic nominee for NY-12? other
9.6¢
--
--
YES 10%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Julia Salazar be the Democratic nominee for NY-07? other
0.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Kristen Gonzalez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07? other
0.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Jennifer Gútierrez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07? other
0.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Julie Won be the Democratic nominee for NY-07? other
4.7¢
--
--
YES 5%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Sandy Nurse be the Democratic nominee for NY-07? other
0.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Tiffany Cabán be the Democratic nominee for NY-07? other
0.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07? other
71.5¢
--
--
YES 72%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10? other
49.5¢
--
--
YES 50%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Dan Goldman be the Democratic nominee for NY-10? other
19.5¢
--
--
YES 20%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Alexa Avilés be the Democratic nominee for NY-10? other
0.6¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Cameron Kasky be the Democratic nominee for NY-10? other
3.0¢
--
--
YES 3%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Yuh-Line Niou be the Democratic nominee for NY-10? other
2.2¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15? other
49.5¢
--
--
YES 50%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Michael Blake be the Democratic nominee for NY-15? other
12.0¢
--
--
YES 12%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Amanda Septimo be the Democratic nominee for NY-15? other
1.6¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Dalourny Nemorin be the Democratic nominee for NY-15? other
49.9¢
--
--
YES 50%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17? other
50.5¢
--
--
YES 51%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17? other
25.0¢
--
--
YES 25%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Peter Chatzky be the Democratic nominee for NY-17? other
9.6¢
--
--
YES 10%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Effie Phillips-Staley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17? other
6.2¢
--
--
YES 6%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Jessica Reinmann be the Democratic nominee for NY-17? other
3.6¢
--
--
YES 4%
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--
✓
C50
Will Mike Sacks be the Democratic nominee for NY-17? other
9.1¢
--
--
YES 9%
--
--
✓
C50
Will John Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NY-17? other
0.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C50
Will John Cappello be the Democratic nominee for NY-17? other
8.8¢
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--
YES 9%
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--
✓
C50
Will Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09? other
64.5¢
--
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YES 65%
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--
✓
C50
Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09? other
23.5¢
--
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YES 24%
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--
✓
C50
Will Laura Fine be the Democratic nominee for IL-09? other
12.0¢
--
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YES 12%
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--
✓
C50
Will Jan Schakowsky be the Democratic nominee for IL-09? other
0.6¢
--
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YES 1%
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--
✓
C50
Will Mariah Lancaster be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? other
1.0¢
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YES 1%
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--
✓
C50
Will Yadira Caraveo be the Democratic nominee for CO-08? other
1.8¢
--
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YES 2%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Amie Baca-Oehlert be the Democratic nominee for CO-08? other
1.6¢
--
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YES 2%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? other
6.2¢
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YES 6%
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--
✓
C50
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02? other
68.5¢
--
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YES 69%
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--
✓
C50
Will Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02? other
23.0¢
--
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YES 23%
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--
✓
C50
Will Mark Johnston be the Democratic nominee for NE-02? other
5.2¢
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YES 5%
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--
✓
C50
Will Evangelos Argyrakis be the Democratic nominee for NE-02? other
6.4¢
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YES 6%
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--
✓
C50
Will Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02? other
48.0¢
--
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YES 48%
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--
✓
C50
Will Nila Devanath be the Democratic nominee for VA-02? other
2.4¢
--
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YES 2%
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--
✓
C50
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? other
25.0¢
--
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YES 25%
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--
✓
C50
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? other
57.5¢
--
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YES 57%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Carleigh Beriont be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? other
16.0¢
--
--
YES 16%
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--
✓
C50
Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? other
49.0¢
--
--
YES 49%
--
--
✓
C50
Will David Oxman be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? other
99.0¢
--
--
YES 99%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? other
29.5¢
--
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YES 30%
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--
✓
C50
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01? other
51.5¢
--
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YES 52%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Luz Escamilla be the Democratic nominee for UT-01? other
0.6¢
--
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YES 1%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Katie Dempsey win the GA-14 special election? politics
1.6¢
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YES 2%
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--
✓
C50
Will Laura Loomer win the GA-14 special election? politics
1.0¢
--
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YES 1%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Uloma Ekpete Kama win the GA-14 special election? politics
3.6¢
--
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YES 4%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? politics
5.0¢
--
--
YES 5%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04? other
49.5¢
--
--
YES 50%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Gian Jones be the Democratic nominee for NY-04? other
39.8¢
--
--
YES 40%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04? other
99.0¢
--
--
YES 99%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Kaela Berg be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? other
1.8¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? politics
0.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C50
Will Alex Bores be the 2026 Democratic candidate for NY-12? other
--
--
25.7¢
YES 26%
--
14K
✓
C50
IF democrats win the house, will Hakeem Jeffries be their speaker? politics
--
--
81.4¢
YES 81%
--
4K
✓
C50
Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War? geopolitics
--
--
23.0¢
YES 23%
0.0%
9K
✓
C50
Ken Paxton wins first round of Texas gop senate primary by 9.0000%+? politics
--
--
52.0¢
YES 52%
--
1K
✓
C50
Cluster Stats
EVENTS
79
AVG PROB
18.7%
AVG SPREAD
0.0%
MAX SPREAD
0.0%
Price Divergence

— no significant divergence —

Arbitrage Signals
99%Δ
Will Carolyn Maloney be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
vs. Will David Oxman be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
99%Δ
Will Carolyn Maloney be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
vs. Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?
99%Δ
Will Lina Khan be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
vs. Will David Oxman be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
99%Δ
Will Lina Khan be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
vs. Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?
99%Δ
Will Liam Elkind be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
vs. Will David Oxman be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
Directional Consensus
6 bull
11 neutral
61 bear
AI Analysis
Analysis generation failed: wrong number of arguments (given 1, expected 0)
Generated 2026-02-22 08:14 UTC