← CLUSTERS | CLUSTER #67 99 markets
DASHBOARD ALERTS CLUSTERS STATUS
LOGIN/SIGNUP
22:30:43 UTC
EVENTS 99
AVG PROB 16.0%
AVG SPREAD 0.0%
VOL 24H 2022.4M
PLOT 2000/146726
MAX POINTS
politics (95) other (3) science (1)
drag to pan - wheel to zoom - double-click to reset
Event Poly Kalshi Manifold Choice Prob Spread Vol Sig
Will Leonard Jackson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
4.0¢
--
--
YES 4%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Nicholas Thompson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
2.8¢
--
--
YES 3%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Joe S. San Agustin win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election? politics
51.0¢
--
--
YES 51%
--
--
✓
C67
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? politics
57.0¢
--
--
YES 57%
--
--
✓
C67
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? politics
30.5¢
--
--
YES 31%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Cole Bettles receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? politics
0.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? politics
13.6¢
--
--
YES 14%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Darren Helton receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? politics
0.3¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? politics
56.5¢
--
--
YES 56%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Jingchao Xiong receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? politics
0.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C67
Will David Ganezer receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? politics
0.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? politics
29.6¢
--
--
YES 30%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Gary Goodweather win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? politics
2.3¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Karl Racine win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? politics
0.8¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Phil Mendelson win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? politics
0.6¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Brian Schwalb win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? politics
1.8¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Randy Villegas advance from the CA-22 Primary? politics
55.5¢
--
--
YES 56%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Rudy Salas advance from the CA-22 Primary? politics
14.5¢
--
--
YES 14%
--
--
✓
C67
Will David Valadao advance from the CA-22 Primary? politics
88.0¢
--
--
YES 88%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Chris Mathys advance from the CA-22 Primary? politics
11.5¢
--
--
YES 12%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
4.5¢
--
--
YES 5%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Ethan Agarwal advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
4.3¢
--
--
YES 4%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
9.1¢
--
--
YES 9%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Carolina Buhler advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
2.8¢
--
--
YES 3%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Ian Calderon advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
5.0¢
--
--
YES 5%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Zoltan Istvan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
3.4¢
--
--
YES 3%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
6.1¢
--
--
YES 6%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
50.5¢
--
--
YES 51%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Raji Rab advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
3.6¢
--
--
YES 4%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
21.5¢
--
--
YES 22%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
65.0¢
--
--
YES 65%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Tony Thurmond advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
6.5¢
--
--
YES 7%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Antonio Villaraigosa advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
50.5¢
--
--
YES 51%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Betty Yee advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
7.5¢
--
--
YES 8%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Dylan Colbert advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
3.9¢
--
--
YES 4%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Ché Ahn advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
5.2¢
--
--
YES 5%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
42.0¢
--
--
YES 42%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Sophia Brink advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
6.2¢
--
--
YES 6%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Sharifah Hardie advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
9.6¢
--
--
YES 10%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
46.0¢
--
--
YES 46%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Brandon Jones advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
5.5¢
--
--
YES 6%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Kyle Langford advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
2.7¢
--
--
YES 3%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Daniel Mercuri advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
3.4¢
--
--
YES 3%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Jimmy Parker advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
5.9¢
--
--
YES 6%
--
--
✓
C67
Will David Serpa advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
3.2¢
--
--
YES 3%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Leo Zacky advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
3.1¢
--
--
YES 3%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Javen Allen advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
12.8¢
--
--
YES 13%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Ryan Tillman advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
6.5¢
--
--
YES 7%
--
--
✓
C67
Will David Thelen advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
8.8¢
--
--
YES 9%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Ramsey Robinson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
2.4¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Butch Ware advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? politics
2.6¢
--
--
YES 3%
--
--
✓
C67
Will Jasmeet Bains advance from the CA-22 Primary? politics
32.0¢
--
--
YES 32%
--
--
✓
C67
Will global approval of China decline in 2024, according to Gallup? geopolitics
--
--
16.9¢
YES 17%
0.0%
--
✓
C67
Graham Platner and James Talarico both win their primaries and general elections? other
--
--
19.5¢
YES 20%
0.0%
--
✓
C67
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? politics
17.0¢
--
--
YES 17%
--
793K
✓
C67
Will Gavin Newsom become president in 2028? politics
--
--
19.0¢
YES 19%
0.0%
1K
✓
C67
SEIU "billionaire tax" qualifies for the November 2026 California ballot politics
--
--
59.4¢
YES 59%
--
60K
✓
C67
Will Trump endorse Steve Hilton in CA-Gov for Nov 2 2026 ET? politics
69.5¢
--
--
YES 70%
--
1K
✓
C67
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026? politics
1.6¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
35K
✓
C67
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? politics
0.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
23K
✓
C67
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? politics
0.6¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
131K
✓
C67
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026? politics
0.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
29K
✓
C67
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? politics
1.6¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
23K
✓
C67
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? politics
0.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
16K
✓
C67
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? politics
0.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
27K
✓
C67
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026? politics
0.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
25K
✓
C67
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? politics
0.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
17K
✓
C67
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? politics
0.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
14K
✓
C67
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? politics
9.0¢
--
--
YES 9%
--
44K
✓
C67
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? politics
0.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
40K
✓
C67
Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? politics
1.3¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
47K
✓
C67
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? politics
36.5¢
--
--
YES 37%
--
8K
✓
C67
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? politics
7.9¢
--
--
YES 8%
--
193K
✓
C67
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? politics
46.5¢
--
--
YES 47%
--
102K
✓
C67
Will Gavin Newsom be elected President in 2028? politics
--
--
18.9¢
YES 19%
--
6K
✓
C67
Will Eric Swalwell be elected the next Governor of California? politics
--
--
36.4¢
YES 36%
--
1K
✓
C67
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? politics
9.0¢
--
--
YES 9%
--
72K
✓
C67
Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? politics
0.6¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
23K
✓
C67
Will Kamala Harris run for governor of California? politics
--
--
2.5¢
YES 3%
--
60K
✓
C67
Will Betty Yee be elected California Governor in 2026 politics
--
--
2.8¢
YES 3%
0.0%
1K
✓
C67
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? politics
0.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
87K
✓
C67
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? politics
50.0¢
--
--
YES 50%
--
314K
✓
C67
Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? politics
0.3¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
4K
✓
C67
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? politics
1.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
38K
✓
C67
If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election? politics
--
--
60.1¢
YES 60%
--
1K
✓
C67
Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? politics
0.8¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
10K
✓
C67
Graham Platner and James Talarico both win their primaries? other
--
--
56.0¢
YES 56%
--
6K
✓
C67
Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 8.0 or greater before 2030? science
--
--
8.9¢
YES 9%
--
1K
✓
C67
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? politics
0.3¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
75K
✓
C67
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? politics
3.8¢
--
--
YES 4%
--
32K
✓
C67
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? politics
0.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
30K
✓
C67
Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? politics
4.8¢
--
--
YES 5%
--
8K
✓
C67
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? politics
52.5¢
--
--
YES 53%
--
12K
✓
C67
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? politics
0.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
44K
✓
C67
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? geopolitics
2.7¢
--
--
YES 3%
--
989K
✓
C67
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass? other
--
--
30.1¢
YES 30%
--
7K
✓
C67
Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028? politics
--
--
27.9¢
YES 28%
--
9K
✓
C67
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
27.2¢
--
--
YES 27%
--
60.5M
✓
C67
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? politics
17.7¢
--
--
YES 18%
--
35.2M
✓
C67
Cluster Stats
EVENTS
99
AVG PROB
16.0%
AVG SPREAD
0.0%
MAX SPREAD
0.0%
Price Divergence

— no significant divergence —

Arbitrage Signals
88%Δ
Will David Ganezer receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
vs. Will David Valadao advance from the CA-22 Primary?
88%Δ
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?
vs. Will David Valadao advance from the CA-22 Primary?
88%Δ
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?
vs. Will David Valadao advance from the CA-22 Primary?
88%Δ
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?
vs. Will David Valadao advance from the CA-22 Primary?
88%Δ
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?
vs. Will David Valadao advance from the CA-22 Primary?
Directional Consensus
2 bull
13 neutral
80 bear
AI Analysis
Analysis generation failed: wrong number of arguments (given 1, expected 0)
Generated 2026-02-22 06:02 UTC