← CLUSTERS | CLUSTER #15 201 markets
DASHBOARD ALERTS CLUSTERS STATUS
LOGIN/SIGNUP
04:02:59 UTC
EVENTS 201
AVG PROB 21.1%
AVG SPREAD 0.0%
VOL 24H 162261.9M
PLOT 2000/161403
MAX POINTS
politics (200) other (1)
drag to pan - wheel to zoom - double-click to reset
Event Poly Kalshi Manifold Choice Prob Spread Vol Sig
Will Angus King III win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? politics
6.0¢
--
--
YES 6%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Deaglan McEachern win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election? politics
21.5¢
--
--
YES 22%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Erin Stewart win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election? politics
57.5¢
--
--
YES 57%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Missy Hughes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? politics
0.3¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? politics
18.0¢
--
--
YES 18%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Melissa Agard win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? politics
1.8¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election? politics
52.0¢
--
--
YES 52%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? politics
62.0¢
--
--
YES 62%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Edna DeVries advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? politics
9.0¢
--
--
YES 9%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? politics
48.0¢
--
--
YES 48%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary? politics
49.5¢
--
--
YES 50%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Vance Bostic win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary? politics
6.2¢
--
--
YES 6%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary? politics
90.0¢
--
--
YES 90%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Antonio Delgado win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary? politics
2.0¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Beth Van Duyne come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? politics
0.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Beth Van Duyne come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? politics
0.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? politics
43.5¢
--
--
YES 44%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Muriel Bowser win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? politics
1.6¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Brianne K. Nadeau win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? politics
0.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Christina Henderson win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? politics
1.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Dave Young be the Democratic nominee for CO-08? other
2.4¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Gwen Graham be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor? politics
2.2¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Yolanda Flowers win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election? politics
7.0¢
--
--
YES 7%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Alexis Hill win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election? politics
12.0¢
--
--
YES 12%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election? politics
69.5¢
--
--
YES 70%
--
--
✓
C15
Will John Kiper win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election? politics
13.5¢
--
--
YES 14%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Tom Sherman win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election? politics
20.5¢
--
--
YES 21%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Donovan Fenton win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election? politics
50.5¢
--
--
YES 51%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election? politics
37.5¢
--
--
YES 38%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Sam Bregman win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election? politics
50.5¢
--
--
YES 51%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election? politics
70.0¢
--
--
YES 70%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Ken Miyagishima win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election? politics
1.9¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Belinda Robertson win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election? politics
1.7¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Judith Nakamura win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election? politics
1.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Susana Martinez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election? politics
1.0¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election? politics
1.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Betsy McCaughey win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election? politics
0.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election? politics
89.5¢
--
--
YES 90%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Arya Azma win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election? politics
8.5¢
--
--
YES 9%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Danielle Bethell win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election? politics
2.0¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election? politics
40.0¢
--
--
YES 40%
--
--
✓
C15
Will David Hughes win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election? politics
1.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? politics
50.5¢
--
--
YES 51%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? politics
6.5¢
--
--
YES 7%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? politics
87.5¢
--
--
YES 88%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Amy Acton win the 2026 Ohio Governor Democratic primary election? politics
95.1¢
--
--
YES 95%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Olujimi Brown win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election? politics
0.3¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election? politics
12.0¢
--
--
YES 12%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election? politics
70.5¢
--
--
YES 71%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Mike Thurmond win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election? politics
49.9¢
--
--
YES 50%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election? politics
83.5¢
--
--
YES 84%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Julie Stauch win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election? politics
4.8¢
--
--
YES 5%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? politics
50.5¢
--
--
YES 51%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? politics
15.5¢
--
--
YES 16%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Jason Cherry win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? politics
0.3¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? politics
24.5¢
--
--
YES 25%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Kenneth Pinet win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? politics
0.3¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? politics
50.5¢
--
--
YES 51%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? politics
23.0¢
--
--
YES 23%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election? politics
68.0¢
--
--
YES 68%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election? politics
98.0¢
--
--
YES 98%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Jessica de la Cruz win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election? politics
54.0¢
--
--
YES 54%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Ashley Kalus win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election? politics
49.5¢
--
--
YES 50%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? politics
20.0¢
--
--
YES 20%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Tim Cyr win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? politics
4.6¢
--
--
YES 5%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? politics
61.5¢
--
--
YES 62%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Gina Hinojosa win the 2026 Texas Governor Democratic primary election? politics
97.8¢
--
--
YES 98%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? politics
52.5¢
--
--
YES 53%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Esther Charlestin win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? politics
5.5¢
--
--
YES 6%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? politics
10.0¢
--
--
YES 10%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Kelda Roys win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? politics
1.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election? politics
87.5¢
--
--
YES 88%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Marni Sawicki win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election? politics
4.0¢
--
--
YES 4%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? politics
78.2¢
--
--
YES 78%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Kristin Robbins win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? politics
0.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? politics
60.0¢
--
--
YES 60%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? politics
50.5¢
--
--
YES 51%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Shelley Hughes advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? politics
9.5¢
--
--
YES 10%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? politics
14.0¢
--
--
YES 14%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? politics
35.0¢
--
--
YES 35%
--
--
✓
C15
Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? politics
86.5¢
--
--
YES 87%
--
--
✓
C15
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
2.0¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
31.4M
✓
C15
Will Kamala Harris run in the 2028 election primary? politics
--
--
47.0¢
YES 47%
0.0%
--
✓
C15
If Jasmine Crockett is the Democratic nominee, will she win the Texas Senate race in 2026? politics
--
--
28.3¢
YES 28%
--
0K
✓
C15
Democrats win 2028 election? politics
--
--
57.7¢
YES 58%
--
4K
✓
C15
Will a Democrat be elected president in 2028? politics
--
--
57.7¢
YES 58%
--
4K
✓
C15
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be elected U.S. president in 2028? politics
--
--
5.8¢
YES 6%
0.0%
4K
✓
C15
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? politics
26.0¢
--
--
YES 26%
--
552K
✓
C15
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
0.8¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
176.6M
✓
C15
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? politics
1.0¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
117.0M
✓
C15
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
0.8¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
212.9M
✓
C15
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
4.0¢
--
--
YES 4%
--
27.9M
✓
C15
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
1.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
57.1M
✓
C15
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
6.2¢
--
--
YES 6%
--
39.5M
✓
C15
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
4.6¢
--
--
YES 5%
--
27.4M
✓
C15
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
1.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
88.6M
✓
C15
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
1.0¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
136.5M
✓
C15
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
1.0¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
74.5M
✓
C15
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
0.8¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
181.5M
✓
C15
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
1.0¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
170.8M
✓
C15
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
0.8¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
230.4M
✓
C15
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
1.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
14.7M
✓
C15
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
1.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
18.3M
✓
C15
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
1.0¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
2.9M
✓
C15
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? politics
6.6¢
--
--
YES 7%
--
23.2M
✓
C15
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? politics
1.0¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
143.8M
✓
C15
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? politics
1.6¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
91.4M
✓
C15
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? politics
1.0¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
123.6M
✓
C15
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? politics
0.8¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
114.2M
✓
C15
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? politics
0.8¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
69.3M
✓
C15
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? politics
1.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
32.1M
✓
C15
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? politics
1.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
12.7M
✓
C15
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? politics
21.5¢
--
--
YES 22%
--
67K
✓
C15
Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026? politics
94.0¢
--
--
YES 94%
--
8K
✓
C15
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? politics
93.6¢
--
--
YES 94%
--
21K
✓
C15
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? politics
91.5¢
--
--
YES 92%
--
148K
✓
C15
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? politics
51.5¢
--
--
YES 52%
--
425K
✓
C15
Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election? politics
10.2¢
--
--
YES 10%
--
11K
✓
C15
Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election? politics
2.2¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
12K
✓
C15
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? politics
93.0¢
--
--
YES 93%
--
132K
✓
C15
Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? politics
3.0¢
--
--
YES 3%
--
23K
✓
C15
Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? politics
0.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
22K
✓
C15
Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? politics
1.0¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
4K
✓
C15
Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? politics
0.6¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
33K
✓
C15
Will Kamala Harris be elected President in 2028? politics
--
--
2.0¢
YES 2%
--
0K
✓
C15
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
1.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
179.1M
✓
C15
Graham Platner wins 50.00%+ in first round of Maine Democratic Senate Primary? politics
--
--
64.3¢
YES 64%
--
0K
✓
C15
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
0.8¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
140.1M
✓
C15
Will Shelley Hughes win the 2026 Alaska governor election? politics
2.6¢
--
--
YES 3%
--
16K
✓
C15
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election? politics
5.8¢
--
--
YES 6%
--
10K
✓
C15
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
1.0¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
165.7M
✓
C15
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? politics
1.0¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
104.5M
✓
C15
Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026? politics
--
--
47.5¢
YES 48%
0.0%
--
✓
C15
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? politics
1.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
32.4M
⚠
C15
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election? politics
17.5¢
--
--
YES 18%
--
279K
✓
C15
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? politics
24.5¢
--
--
YES 25%
--
9K
✓
C15
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? politics
28.0¢
--
--
YES 28%
--
771K
✓
C15
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? politics
2.0¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
14.1M
✓
C15
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? politics
1.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
69.0M
✓
C15
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? politics
2.0¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
102.6M
✓
C15
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? politics
1.6¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
106.4M
✓
C15
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
1.0¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
150.6M
✓
C15
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
1.0¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
50.5M
✓
C15
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? politics
1.8¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
19.7M
✓
C15
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? politics
0.8¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
14.0M
✓
C15
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? politics
0.8¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
2.6M
✓
C15
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? politics
21.5¢
--
--
YES 22%
--
414K
✓
C15
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Presidential Election of the United States? politics
--
--
22.4¢
YES 22%
--
4K
✓
C15
Will AOC be elected President in 2032? politics
--
--
3.9¢
YES 4%
0.0%
5K
⚠
C15
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
3.5¢
--
--
YES 4%
--
26.7M
✓
C15
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
2.6¢
--
--
YES 3%
--
27.8M
✓
C15
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
0.8¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
148.1M
✓
C15
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
1.0¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
80.1M
✓
C15
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
1.0¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
136.8M
✓
C15
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? politics
2.2¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
3.7M
✓
C15
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? politics
1.6¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
43.2M
✓
C15
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? politics
99.9¢
--
--
YES 99%
--
3.6M
✓
C15
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? politics
54.5¢
--
--
YES 55%
--
3.5M
✓
C15
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? politics
47.5¢
--
--
YES 48%
--
797K
✓
C15
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
9.0¢
--
--
YES 9%
--
28.1M
✓
C15
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
1.6¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
29.1M
✓
C15
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
1.0¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
104.9M
✓
C15
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
2.2¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
44.7M
✓
C15
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
1.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
41.3M
✓
C15
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
0.8¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
73.6M
✓
C15
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? politics
1.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
33.9M
✓
C15
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? politics
4.6¢
--
--
YES 5%
--
28.5M
✓
C15
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? politics
1.0¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
90.6M
✓
C15
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? politics
1.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
20.7M
⚠
C15
Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? politics
0.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
22K
✓
C15
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
2.4¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
40.5M
✓
C15
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
1.0¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
162.2M
✓
C15
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? politics
1.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
15.7M
✓
C15
Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? politics
0.6¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
252K
✓
C15
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? politics
0.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
35K
✓
C15
If Graham Platner is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Maine Senate race in 2026? politics
--
--
76.3¢
YES 76%
--
0K
✓
C15
Will a democrat win the 2028 presidential election? politics
--
--
58.0¢
YES 58%
--
8K
✓
C15
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
2.2¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
32.9M
✓
C15
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
1.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
79.0M
✓
C15
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
2.0¢
--
--
YES 2%
--
116.0M
✓
C15
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
1.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
112.9M
✓
C15
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
0.8¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
187.0M
✓
C15
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
1.0¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
192.7M
✓
C15
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? politics
0.8¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
187.7M
✓
C15
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? politics
1.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
98.5M
✓
C15
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? politics
1.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
28.7M
✓
C15
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? politics
1.0¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
123.2M
✓
C15
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? politics
54.5¢
--
--
YES 55%
--
95K
✓
C15
Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? politics
0.3¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
21K
✓
C15
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? politics
92.0¢
--
--
YES 92%
--
14K
✓
C15
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? politics
15.0¢
--
--
YES 15%
--
21K
✓
C15
Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election? politics
0.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
9K
✓
C15
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election? politics
2.6¢
--
--
YES 3%
--
260K
✓
C15
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race in Maine? politics
--
--
68.2¢
YES 68%
0.0%
0K
✓
C15
Will AOC be the first female US president? politics
--
--
8.0¢
YES 8%
0.0%
0K
✓
C15
Will Kamala Harris be the first female President? politics
--
--
5.0¢
YES 5%
0.0%
1K
✓
C15
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
1.4¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
103.1M
✓
C15
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? politics
1.0¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
181.0M
✓
C15
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? politics
1.0¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
116.3M
✓
C15
Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? politics
0.2¢
--
--
YES 1%
--
23K
✓
C15
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? politics
87.0¢
--
--
YES 87%
--
81K
✓
C15
Cluster Stats
EVENTS
201
AVG PROB
21.1%
AVG SPREAD
0.0%
MAX SPREAD
0.0%
Price Divergence

— no significant divergence —

Arbitrage Signals
100%Δ
Will Beth Van Duyne come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
vs. Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
100%Δ
Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
vs. Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
100%Δ
Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
vs. Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
100%Δ
Will Betsy McCaughey win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?
vs. Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
100%Δ
Will Kristin Robbins win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
vs. Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Directional Consensus
25 bull
26 neutral
147 bear
AI Analysis
Analysis generation failed: wrong number of arguments (given 1, expected 0)
Generated 2026-02-22 06:02 UTC